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ELECTION 2012: Exit polls: Smer leads; KDH in second

After polling stations closed at 22:00 across Slovakia, ending the country’s generalelection on March 10, public-service broadcaster Radio and Television of Slovakia(RTVS) and private broadcaster TV Markíza both released exit polls, conducted incooperation with the Focus and MVK agencies respectively.

After polling stations closed at 22:00 across Slovakia, ending the country’s general
election on March 10, public-service broadcaster Radio and Television of Slovakia
(RTVS) and private broadcaster TV Markíza both released exit polls, conducted in
cooperation with the Focus and MVK agencies respectively.

As expected, Robert Fico’s Smer party attracted by far the largest single block of
support, based on the responses of voters as they left polling stations. Smer received
39.6 percent in Focus exit poll and 37.3 in the MVK exit poll. When translated into
seats in the 150-seat parliament, this would mean approximately 75 and 69 seats
respectively.

In a distant second place was the Christian Democratic Movement (KDH), with 9.9
percent in the Focus poll and 10.8 percent in the MVK poll. This would mean 19 or
20 seats in the next parliament.

Ordinary People and Independent Personalities (OĽaNO) followed in third, with 8.8
percent in the Focus poll and 7.6 percent in the MVK poll. This would mean around
16 or 14 seats in parliament.

The Slovak Democratic and Christian Union (SDKÚ) seems to be defying pre-
election predictions of a departure from parliament, receiving 8.1 percent in the Focus
poll and 7.5 percent in the MVK poll. This would mean 15 or 14 seats in parliament.

Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) received 7.1 percent in the Focus poll but only 5.9
percent in the MVK poll. This would mean 13 or 11 seats in parliament.

Most-Híd received 6.5 percent in the Focus poll and 6.8 percent in the MVK poll.
This would mean 12 or 13 seats in parliament.

The Hungarian Coalition Party (SMK) polled strongly in the MVK exit poll compared
to its sub-5-percent performances in most pre-election polls. The poll suggested it
would return to parliament, with 5.1 percent, or 13 seats in parliament.

Both exit polls suggested that the Slovak National party (SNS) and 99 Percent – Civic
Voice would not clear the 5 percent needed to win seats in parliament.

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