NBS: Hard Brexit may slow down Slovakia’s economic growth by 0.5 percent

Impact on Slovakia will be indirect via its main trade partners, especially Germany

Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May (Source: AP/TASR)

A so-called hard Brexit could hit Slovakia’s business partners, and that could subsequently cause a slowdown in the Slovak economy. Ján Tóth, vice-governor of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS) commented at the international Euromoney conference in Vienna on January 19 as cited by the TASR newswire. The NBS is likely to include the impact of the planned withdrawal of Great Britain from the EU in its next economic forecast.

SkryťRemove ad
Article continues after video advertisement
SkryťRemove ad
Article continues after video advertisement

“We’ve so far factored in Brexit, but assumed that it would be carried out in its softer form,” said Tóth. “If it takes place in a harder form, however, there would be a negative risk with respect to what we’ve determined so far.”

At the moment it is too early to analyse it more deeply.

“The only thing we do know is that it will probably have a worse impact than we thought,” said Tóth, adding that the final trade relation deal between the UK and the EU isn’t yet known.

The NBS in its previous prognosis forecasted that Slovakia’s economic growth would slow down by 0.3 percent of GDP due to Britain’s departure from the EU.

“The impact, however, could be rather closer to 0.5 percent of GDP,” said Tóth.

The most significant impact on Slovakia will not be direct, as exports from Slovakia to Britain represent only some 4 percent. The impact will be seen indirectly through a slowdown in growth among Slovakia’s trading partners, especially Germany, which exports to Britain to a greater extent.

SkryťRemove ad

“Weaker growth in Germany could be reflected in Slovak exports,” said Tóth.

Read also: Fico: EU should not emerge from Brexit talks weakened and UK strengthened Read more 

On Tuesday, January 17, British Prime Minister Theresa May in a speech on Brexit unveiled a tougher stance on Britain’s withdrawal from the EU. The hard Brexit prognosis includes the UK’s giving up full access to the single market and full access to a customs union alongside the EU.

Top stories

News digest: Who's afraid of liberal democracy?

Slovak sprinter just misses medal, worries over who will take charge of foreign policy. Learn more in today's digest.


11 h

Swiss trams start up in Horehronie region

First test rides have been successful.


16. aug
Silvia Solymosy and Jozef Solymosy pose for photographers with their medals at the end of the mixed duet technical final at the European swimming championships in Rome on August 15, 2022.

Slovak artistic swimmers win historic medals at European championships

The Solymosy siblings have won two bronze medals in Rome.


15. aug
SkryťClose ad