If a general election took place next weekend, it would be won by the Smer party, with 27.1 percent of voters.
The opposition Freedom and Solidarity (SaS) would come second, winning the support of 13.8 percent, while the far-right People’s Party – Our Slovakia (ĽSNS) of Marian Kotleba would be third with 13 percent of the vote. This analysis stems from a phone poll carried out by the Polis agency for the SITA newswire between February 18 and 25 on 1,311 respondents.
Another party to make it to parliament would be the Ordinary People (OĽaNO-NOVA) supported by 12.1 percent of respondents, followed by the Slovak National Party (SNS) with 9 percent, and We Are Family with Boris Kollár gaining 8.1 percent of the votes. Also Most-Híd and the Christian Democratic Movement (KDH) would win seats, each supported by 5.4 percent of respondents.
The results are very similar to the January poll conducted by Polis. While the support for the current ruling parties fell slightly, the support of most opposition parties increased, with the most significant growth being reported by ĽSNS: by nearly 2 percentage points. The support of SaS and We Are Family rose by 0.9 and 0.7 percentage points, respectively.
As for the parliamentary mandates, Smer would receive 43 seats, SaS 22, ĽSNS 21, OĽaNO 19, SNS 14, We Are Family 13, and Most-Híd and KHD nine each.
The current ruling coalition of Smer, SNS and Most-Híd would thus fail to have majority in parliament, controlling only 66 seats, SITA reported.
The preferences were calculated assuming a 62-percent turnout. About 18 percent of respondents said they would not vote, while 20 percent were undecided.