Spectator on facebook

Spectator on facebook

Central bank: Economy to rise by 3.2 percent

The automotive industry should contribute to the economy’s growth.

Illustrative stock photo(Source: Jana Liptáková)

Slovakia’s economy should increase by 3.2 percent this year. Next year, the gross domestic product is expected to rise by 4.2 percent, while in 2019 it should grow by 4.6 percent, mostly as a result of new investments in the automotive industry.

This stems from the latest mid-term prediction of the National Bank of Slovakia (NBS), the country’s central bank, introduced on March 28.

The stronger domestic consumption and export in the final quarter of 2016 compensated for the drop in investments, according to the NBS. The bank predicts that both exports and domestic consumption will continue increasing. Thanks to new investments in production in the automotive sector, a more significant GDP growth is expected for 2018 and 2019, said NBS governor Jozef Makúch, as reported by the TASR newswire.

As for the labour market, the dynamic creation of new jobs continues, particularly in services and industry. The NBS revised its previous prediction for employment growth upwards, to 2 percent this year.

The dynamics, however, are expected to gradually slow down. This will be the result of the tensions arising from the lack of a qualified labour force. The growing imbalance in the labour market should be partially slowed down by the increase in the hours worked, as well as the expected influx of foreign workers and an increasing share of participation, Makúch said, as reported by TASR.

Read also: Read also:NBS predicts an accelerating rise in employment

The unemployment rate is expected to drop and by the end of 2019 it should fall to its historically lowest level of 6.9 percent.

The NBS meanwhile revised the dynamics of wage growth upwards, mostly due to the expected developments in the labour market. The labour costs are expected to be reflected in price development, in the form of accelerated dynamics of prices, particularly of services and goods.

The central bank also increased its inflation prediction for 2018 to 2 percent and for 2019 to 2.1 percent. In 2017, consumer prices should rise by 1.4 percent, especially due to the growth in food prices and the gradually fading effect of lower VAT on selected foodstuffs, according to Makúch.

He also warned that the Slovak economy would slightly overheat next year. Thus he considers it appropriate to stabilise the economic environment by consolidating public finances. He recommends thinking about amending the constitutional law on budgetary responsibility, as reported by TASR.

The limits to expenditure and successful implementation of the Value for Money project should create sufficient sources for effective spending that would support long-term economic growth. To support potential economic production, it is necessary to accelerate the tempo of implementing the structural reforms, the NBS governor said.

Topic: Economics


Top stories

My five-year-old daughter will almost certainly encounter a Weinstein too

It’s not that I thought sexually harassing women was okay, it’s more that I accepted that was just part of how things worked. Unfortunate, yes, but also standard.

Harvey Weinstein

Socialism elections were parody of free vote

After the revolution in 1989 the number of people participating in elections fell from 99 percent to around 60 percent.

Elections during socialism regime.

Foreigners: Top 10 events in Bratislava Video

Tips for the top 10 events in the capital between November 17 and November 26, plus regular services in different languages, training, temporary exhibitions and highlights of the year.

Lúčnica

Top 3 stories from Last Week in Slovakia Video

Chinese could produce e-cars in Slovakia - PM Robert Fico does not see election defeat - Poliačik leaves the strongest opposition party

PM Robert Fico